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Yogy:
The EU Has No ‘Plan B’ for the Balkans, or, Welcome to the Reservation
Balkanalysis.com
By Christopher Deliso

EU policy towards the West Balkan states has sought to keep the various antagonistic nations and ethnicities from one another’s throats, by promising eventual membership in NATO and the European Union to each country. This was to be the magic solution. The premise was that the collective advantages of membership in these institutions, and the ensuing irrelevance of territorial borders within an all-encompassing union, would be enough to keep the many nationalists and irredentists at bay.

In fact, every politicial, juridical and economic decision and reform made by Balkan governments since then has been driven by the hopefulness that this promise will be rewarded. Political parties incessantly campaign on it to the point that, ironically, there is no realistic opportunity for political differences other than ethnic and religious chauvinism, because there is no debate allowed on the simple matter of whether or not joining the EU is a sensible goal. Yet what if the West fails to make good on its pledge? What is the Plan B?

There is every reason to think that the West is not going to make good, at least not anytime soon. Plan B, vague deferment, is not really a plan at all. Bulgaria and Romania made it into the EU (as of January 2007, that is) by the skin of their teeth and their citizens are not likely to be given free roam of Europe, considering the rising anti-immigration sentiment, the French and Dutch referendums, and things like the “Polish plumber” syndrome in England. Of course, this threatened circumspection has not prevented realtors and retirees in Britain, Germany and other EU states from snatching up prime pieces of Black Sea coastline.

The same is true in Montenegro, where the lovely Adriatic shore is now almost entirely in foreign hands. Montenegro became the newest state in Europe this spring, is not (at least officially) on standby to join the EU, and yet it is bound to be fast-tracked ahead of neighboring countries like Macedonia and Albania which have been waiting patiently and carrying out reforms for years, but which have more internal problems and less appeal.

This is not to say that Montenegro is completely out of the woods. It became independent from Serbia largely because of the Muslim vote (Bosniak Muslims and Albanians), and these groups have already made various threats about where their ultimate ambitions lie. (Hint: It is not in Montenegro). Even without the fulfillment of this danger, the inevitable rise in property costs – as has been attested in Hungary, the Czech Republic and elsewhere – means that private property ownership for the supposed motor of the economy (the young and educated middle-class, that is) will become less and less likely.

Elsewhere, with the controversial independence of Kosovo fast arriving, the Bosnian Serbs have warned that they will take it as a precedent for a referendum on their own national self-determination rights. The stronger the Bosnian Muslim part of the federation pushes for centralization – of course, with the wholehearted backing of the country’s German viceroy – the stronger the resistance of the Serbs who fear living under Muslim rule. The much smaller Croat federal population has hinted that if Republika Srpska goes, they may bail as well.

The result would be a Muslim ghetto in the center of the Balkans, stripped of any need for “good behavior” to keep the internationals happy in return for keeping the country united. This hostile entity would be contiguous with the coming Balkan trouble spot, Serbia’s largely Muslim Sandzak, which has now been cut in two between Serbia and Montenegro. There, a very dangerous Islamic radical group funded by Iran and Saudi Arabia is gathering strength. Sandzak in turn borders on Kosovo which, if independent and free of international control – already, the UN has turned over border control to the Kosovo Albanians, which means there is no longer a border with Albania – will see a renewed challenge from the Wahhabis for religious and eventually political leadership. Whether the majority of Albanians wants them or not is not the issue. The important thing is that the Wahhabis have shown, in Kosovo and in neighboring Balkan states, a willingness to use armed violence against fellow Muslims to achieve their aims. Yet Europe pretends not to see this and the Serbian lobby erroneously and mistakenly conflates the problem: it is simple logic that if you argue all apples are red, your opponent will discredit you by arguing that no apples are red, though some of them might indeed be red.

The endemic problem, however, is that Europe wants to have its cake and eat it too. It wants to control the economies of Balkan countries, which it already does to a large extent, defending up their investment and preferential treatment demands with political threats and never-ending EU membership hurdles. In industries like telecommunications, for example, EU companies seek to make up for sluggish profits at home by exploiting monopoly situations and customer rip-offs in the Balkans.

At the same time, the West wants to get rid of immigrants, especially Muslims and criminal elements rightly or wrongly associated in Western minds with the Balkans, and at the same time also have Balkan states follow their dictates in a nice and orderly fashion. Yet the recent passage of tough immigration laws in Switzerland, probably to be replicated in other EU countries, could see the deportation of tens or even hundreds of thousands of Balkan Muslim legal workers (as well, perhaps, as the many thousands arrested for drug and weapons trafficking).

Considering that a major source of real wealth in Albania, Kosovo and Macedonia comes from the remittances of relatives working in the West, it is not hard to see what will happen to Balkan economies when these breadwinners are forcibly returned. Add this large group of newly unemployed young men to the mix – who will be especially bitter at having enjoyed until recently La Dolce Vita in the West (remember, you can’t miss what you never had) – and you have a perfect recipe for war, more refugees, and a never-ending cycle of violence.

There are several possible scenarios for the independences of Kosovo, as we saw last week with a internal document circulated within the United Nations Mission in Kosovo. None of the scenarios provide reason for optimism. But continued inclusion in Serbia is also unrealistic and, if the Western anti-immigration parties win out, will create a major problem for Serbia if it has to absorb still more Kosovars.

Ironically, there are two stories with the EU’s schizophrenic independence policies. With the Montenegrin coast, it envisions one giant retirement community for graying Euro-pensioners to live out their days in tranquility, a kind of happy-farm, whereas in Kosovo it seems to want to create a sort of reservation for Muslim returnees to live out their days as far away from Western Europe as possible.

Another twist: whereas the US, with its old reservation policy, forcibly removed the Indians’ land from under their feet and resettled them with in open holding pens, the EU is trying to remove the Kosovars’ feet from under Western lands and set them down again on their own soil. The result is the same, however- an open reservation for undesirables. Of course both at least have casinos.

The problem is not that EU membership is not coming fast enough. The problem is that it won’t be the magical cure its supporters claim it will be. We should never forget that there is a whole class of political and administrative beings whose entire existence, salaries and retirement plan depends on the grim and constant enlargement of the European Union. The opinions of this small group of individuals inevitably runs counter to that which has been expressed by the majority of Western European populations. The EU is out of touch, corrupt and incompetent, and no amount of propaganda (which Brussels is desperately about to embark on) will change that. The question is whether, in their self-serving attempts to avoid the ’straight’ workforce, the Eurocrats will destroy the Balkans first.

MarZutra:
Every nation with a Muslim population within must, according to the Koran/Hadith, expell them as enemies of the State or for treason.  Since Islam's goal is to rule the world..... GET OUT!!!  We have far too many here in Canadakstan.....  Fly into our airports it is comparable to landing in Khartoum....  terrible just terrible...  We can thank the EU, UN, CFR and all of these elitist egalitarians for this....bastards...

Kaurin:
Pretty good writing.

Husar:
alija izetbegovic, head of  the bosno-muslims, during the "Bosnian war",
(died unpunished)
wrote his ISLAMIC DECLARATION.

Serbs knew what they had to fight.
The west, not less informed,
remained silent concerning this "declaration",
and pestified against the Serbs.

...Leading to the bombing of Serbia.

NAZICROATS wished (in NAZICROATIAN TV, during meteorologic prognostic)
Serbia a pure sky (without clouds)
so that the NATO WARPLANES could easily target anything on Serbian Soil.

Who said everybody is born "equal" ?...
Who ever on earth spoke and wrote anything about Human Rights ???

 :-X

MarZutra:

--- Quote from: Husar on September 30, 2007, 05:21:12 PM ---alija izetbegovic, head of  the bosno-muslims, during the "Bosnian war",
(died unpunished)
wrote his ISLAMIC DECLARATION.

Serbs knew what they had to fight.
The west, not less informed,
remained silent concerning this "declaration",
and pestified against the Serbs.

...Leading to the bombing of Serbia.

NAZICROATS wished (in NAZICROATIAN TV, during meteorologic prognostic)
Serbia a pure sky (without clouds)
so that the NATO WARPLANES could easily target anything on Serbian Soil.

Who said everybody is born "equal" ?...
Who ever on earth spoke and wrote anything about Human Rights ???

 :-X


--- End quote ---
Karl Marx, Rosa Luxemburg, Margarete Meade, Jesse Jackson, Jimmy Carter, Adolf Hitler ...lol  Just pulling your leg...lol ;)

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