JTF.ORG Forum
General Category => General Discussion => Topic started by: eb22 on December 02, 2011, 12:55:58 AM
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As much as the vast majority of us want to see Newt Gingrich defeated in the 2012 Republican Presidential Race, we are dealing with a substantial danger that Gingrich is going to emerge as the Republican Nominee. The next few weeks are critical in turning the tide.
eb22
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/11/30/do-math-gingrich-is-now-gop-front-runner/
Do the Math -- Gingrich Is Now the GOP Front Runner
By Douglas E. Schoen
Published November 30, 2011
| FoxNews.com
There is a new front runner in the Republican nomination for president, one who has frankly not been recognized as a front runner, given the nature of the media and the reporting on the contrast. That front runner is Newt Gingrich, who in the new Iowa Insider Advantage poll has a 15% lead over Mitt Romney. That lead, which is well beyond the margin of error, suggests that he is now in a commanding position in Iowa, which could well lead to a victory of the size and scope that Mike Huckabee won four years ago.
But beyond that, Gingrich is 28 points ahead in South Carolina, the third primary, which would be a landslide victory for the former Georgia Congressman should the numbers hold up.
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With New Hampshire now within 10 points, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney running ahead of Gingrich only here, there is every reason to believe that the combination of the Manchester Union Leader's endorsement, and the former Speaker's now likely victory in Iowa will tighten the race even more in the Granite state.
Further, given the newly released Florida numbers, which show Gingrich with a commanding 24 point lead over Mitt Romney, there is every reason to believe that the race has swung decisively in the direction of the former Speaker. The former Speaker is benefitting not only from superlative debate performances, but also from the decline and perhaps fall of Herman Cain. Polls show that the former Cain voters are breaking by at least 2 to 1, and in some cases 3 to 1, for former speaker Gingrich.
Put another way, if Gingrich wins Iowa, is very competitive in New Hampshire, and wins South Carolina and Florida in landslides, the race will effectively be over.
To be sure, there are a lot of "ifs" here, but all of the momentum is now with Gingrich. At the very least, winning 3 of the 4 contests will give Gingrich a huge leg up on the contest for the nomination, and will mean that he is in, at the very least, a commanding position.
Moreover, the last two national polls that have been released by CNN and Quinnipiac show Gingrich with a 4 point lead nationally in Republican trial heat, as his position has improved by roughly 1.5% per week.
What does all of this mean for the race?
First, the Romney campaign has got to go into attack mode quickly. They simply cannot afford to sit back and get trounced in Iowa and South Carolina, and face the prospect of a substantial defeat in Florida.
It also means that Gingrich, so far, has not been adversely impacted by his comments on immigration last week, as the two polls that Insider Advantage did in South Carolina and Iowa were done after he made his comments in the National Security debate on the need for a path to legalization for illegal immigrants.
The prospect of a race between Gingrich and Obama should suggest the degree of volatility there is in the national race, and the possibility of additional candidates from the left, right, and most of all, center, entering the contest.
But more fundamentally, the most recently released polling shows that the world on the Republicans side has probably changed, and those changes are going to impact on the strategies of President Obama, and most importantly, Mitt Romney.
Mitt Romney's campaign is now in desperate trouble-- more desperate than ever before!
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/11/30/do-math-gingrich-is-now-gop-front-runner/#ixzz1fLzYxsjH
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Thefollowing numbers are even more alarming.
eb22
http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/12/01/gingrich-jumps-to-38-support-opens-massive-lead-over-romney-poll/
Gingrich at 38% support, jumps to biggest lead yet over Romney: poll
Agence France-Presse Dec 1, 2011 – 4:34 PM ET | Last Updated: Dec 1, 2011 4:42 PM ET
Republican presidential candidates former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
WASHINGTON — Republican U.S. Presidential hopeful Newt Gingrich widened his lead over his rivals, according to a poll released Thursday showing him with more than double the support of Mitt Romney.
Gingrich — the former House speaker who in recent days has surged in the polls — received 38% support from respondents in a telephone survey of likely Republican primary voters conducted by the Rasmussen poll organization.
That lead is the biggest attained by any Republican presidential candidate so far in roiling pre-primary jockeying that has seen several contenders claim the frontrunner mantle, only to fall back a few weeks later.
Most surprising, however, is the huge gap separating Gingrich and Romney, who earned just 17% in the Rasmussen poll.
Romney, a former Massachusetts governor who consistently has been among the top Republican presidential contenders throughout the pre-primary season, had been deemed by many to be the default frontrunner.
However, in Rasmussen’s national survey of 1,000 people, he appears to have lost a great deal of ground to Gingrich. No other candidates received double-digit support, the poll showed.
The result confirms a Quinnipiac University survey of Republican voters that showed Gingrich pulling ahead of Romney by a commanding 49% versus 39%.
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UGHH!!!! I still hope he is just the flavor of the month.
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Wait till the democrat dirt machine kicks in and all the 'skeletons in gingrinches closet' come out. I am sure that they can find some more dirt that we don't even know yet.... Like they did for so many others...
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Wait till the democrat dirt machine kicks in and all the 'skeletons in gingrinches closet' come out. I am sure that they can find some more dirt that we don't even know yet.... Like they did for so many others...
The question is WHEN will the Democrat Dirt Machine kick in regarding Newt Gingrich? If it doesn't kick in within the next few weeks, it's very possible that Gingrich is going to win the Republican Nomination.
As much as I detest Ron Paul, I was glad that he went on the attack against Newt Gingrich earlier this week.
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The Grinch is the flavor of the month.
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he is the worst of all the candidates because he is a big opportunistic scumbag. look at all the times hes recently sided with democrats and you'll see its all opportunist popular positions even though they were awful.
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Either way, anyone but Obama out Nazi Ron Paul.
Although if it were between the two of then I would choose Paul only because he is against foreign aid to Israel and that is a huge advantage because Israel can do what it needs to do without asking the us for permission. And when Israel acts alone, it does better against her enemies.
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*gags*
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I haven't been paying much attention.
Why are we supposed to be against the amphibian?
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I haven't been paying much attention.
Why are we supposed to be against the amphibian?
He is the very archetype of a RINO (Republican in name only) . He makes Mcaine look like a conservative. I dont even know where to start with this guy.
Also, he looks funny. :::D
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He is the very archetype of a RINO (Republican in name only) . He makes Mcaine look like a conservative. I dont even know where to start with this guy.
Also, he looks funny. :::D
Rino, yes... Still I could listen to him speak for hours... He is very well versed when it comes to political issues... His daughter dispels the myth that he presented his ex wife with divorce papers at her hospital bed... The daughter clams it was her mother who wanted the divorce not Newt... Whatever the case if Newt gains the nomination I am behind him 100%
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Rino, yes... Still I could listen to him speak for hours... He is very well versed when it comes to political issues... His daughter dispels the myth that he presented his ex wife with divorce papers at her hospital bed... The daughter clams it was her mother who wanted the divorce not Newt... Whatever the case if Newt gains the nomination I am behind him 100%
Well yes, of course I'd prefer him over Obama... but Id prefer almost anyone else in the GOP over him (Paul doesnt count)
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Well yes, of course I'd prefer him over Obama... but Id prefer almost anyone else in the GOP over him (Paul doesnt count)
This is the craziest presidential primary season I have ever remembered and I have seen quite a few... I could live with a Newt presidency... All I know is another 4 years of our sitting president and even the gentiles will have to pack up and leave the country.