Check Out The New Poll by Rassmussen- HUCK is #1

[Dan]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll:
Thursday, January 17, 2008
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mike Huckabee on top in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. It’s Huckabee 23%, John McCain 20%, Mitt Romney 18%, Fred Thompson 12%, and Rudy Giuliani 11%. Ron Paul attracts 2% support (see recent daily numbers).

Among conservatives, Huckabee attracts 27% and Romney is second with 19%. Among moderates, McCain leads with 29% and Romney is second with 18%.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Roughly three-quarters of interviews for today’s update were conducted before results of the Michigan Primary were known. The next update is scheduled for Friday at 11:00 a.m.

At noon Eastern today, Rasmussen Reports will release our first poll on the New Jersey Republican Primary. At 2:00 p.m. Eastern, new results for South Carolina will be posted. At 9:00 p.m. Eastern, our first poll on the Republican Primary in California will be released. In Florida, four Republican candidates essentially tied for the lead. Exit polling from Michigan highlights the challenges facing John McCain.
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s now Clinton 37%, Obama 30% and John Edwards 16% (see recent daily numbers). An Inside Report by Robert Novak says that Clinton’s recent claims that she is the only candidate who has been vetted may disturb “the party's racial chemistry.” A commentary by Susan Estrich looks at the issue of “Race in the Race.”

Rasmussen Reports will release Democratic Primary polls today at noon Eastern for New Jersey, at 2:00 p.m. Eastern for South Carolina, and at 9:00 p.m. Eastern for California. Clinton holds a solid lead in Florida.

A commentary by Dick Morris says it is “time for Edwards to exit” because Clinton and Obama’s fate are in his hands.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Clinton a 58.0% chance of winning the Democratic nomination and Obama a 39.9% chance. On the Republican side, McCain is now given a 39.4% chance of winning the nomination. Mitt Romney is at 19.5% followed by Giuliani at 19.8%, Mike Huckabee at 13.5%, and Fred Thompson at 2.9%. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll.

Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, RasmussenMarkets.com harnesses competitive passions to becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market. Prospects for South Carolina, Nevada, and Florida are featured on the Rasmussen Markets Summary page.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Each Monday, full week results are released based upon a seven-day rolling average. While the daily tracking result are useful for measuring quick reaction to events in the news, the full week results provide an effective means for evaluating longer-term trends. Rasmussen Reports also provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.