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Author Topic: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)  (Read 1036 times)

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Offline briann

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VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« on: November 04, 2008, 01:16:04 PM »
http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/discussion/showthread.php?t=40547

All the last polls (in the last 24 hours) have all tightened.

Final Battleground Vote Projections (Tarrance) is the last and final poll... and they attempt to project who the undecideds will vote for.

Battleground Vote Projections, adjusted for likely voters.

Tarrance Projection

Barack Obama 50.2%
John McCain 48.3%
Bob Barr 0.9%
Ralph Nader 0.6%

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Offline eb22

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2008, 01:59:33 PM »
   This national poll appears to be the most favorable for the McCain/ Palin ticket.     If by chance the 1.9 % is on the money,   its possible that McCain/ Palin can still win the Electoral College.   
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Offline Chaim Ben Pesach

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2008, 02:05:20 PM »
Tarrance is a Republican pollster.
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Offline briann

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2008, 02:42:37 PM »
Quote from: Chaim Ben Pesach on November 04, 2008, 02:05:20 PM
Tarrance is a Republican pollster.

Yes, Im aware of that.  But they Nailed it in 2004.   I think the key from one poll to another is how they weight the percentage of Dems v. Repubs.

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Offline Dr. Dan

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2008, 02:44:03 PM »
Quote from: briann on November 04, 2008, 02:42:37 PM
Quote from: Chaim Ben Pesach on November 04, 2008, 02:05:20 PM
Tarrance is a Republican pollster.

Yes, Im aware of that.  But they Nailed it in 2004.   I think the key from one poll to another is how they weight the percentage of Dems v. Repubs.


did they nail it in 2000, 1996 or 1992? How about 1988? or 1984?
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Offline briann

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2008, 02:51:49 PM »
Quote from: Dr. Dan on November 04, 2008, 02:44:03 PM
Quote from: briann on November 04, 2008, 02:42:37 PM
Quote from: Chaim Ben Pesach on November 04, 2008, 02:05:20 PM
Tarrance is a Republican pollster.

Yes, Im aware of that.  But they Nailed it in 2004.   I think the key from one poll to another is how they weight the percentage of Dems v. Repubs.


did they nail it in 2000, 1996 or 1992? How about 1988? or 1984?

No... they are like very other poll... imperfect and prone to bias... but this poll and all the other polls have NOT been adjusted for the 'Bradley' effect.  However... all the polls do point to Tightening.... which is important as it gives us an idea of which direction the undecideds are braking towards.

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Offline Jasmina

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2008, 03:30:42 PM »
  I pray to G-d that Obama will loose!
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Offline Tacitus

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2008, 03:36:41 PM »
damn barrack hussein obama damn him  >:(
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Offline CorrieDeservedIt

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2008, 05:41:20 PM »
told you. No chance in hell of Mccain winning.
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Offline Roadwarrior

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Re: VERY VERY VERY LAST POLL!! (BO up by 1.9%)
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2008, 06:43:48 PM »

Mccain has a chance of eeking out squeakers in battleground states + PA..... ....and who cares if he loses the popular vote
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