If Israel Attacks Iran In July 2010...
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…it will not be a surprise attack. In fact, regardless of when Israel attacks Iran the element of surprise does not exist. This confrontation has been discussed for several years and everybody knows about it so there will be no surprises. Israel is ready for it. Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas are ready for it. It’s just a matter of when.
July of 2010 has plenty of merit to be the month of the event. We already know that Iran has enough uranium for two nuclear bombs, it just has to be enriched to a higher grade. That right there is enough to get things started but there are other factors involved also.
The date will also depend upon the targets that Israel plans to hit. If the nuclear plant at Bushehr is on the target list, the window for attacking this plant before it goes online is about to close as we discussed in a previous news story.
This reactor takes a lot of nuclear fuel to run it, approximately 82-85 tons of fuel, which was delivered from Russia in January of 2008. This can produce a tremendous amount of radiation. Also, the spent fuel from this reactor can be reprocessed to plutonium to make atomic bombs.
It doesn’t make sense for Israel to knock out the enrichment facilities and leave this reactor and let Iran use the reactor and then they reprocess the spent fuel for the plutonium to make nuclear weapons.
Now let’s look at this scenario: let’s say Israel waits to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities after the Bushehr plant goes into operation. The plant is active and producing electricity and Israel bombs this plant. The explosion takes out the cooling system and the employees that run the reactor. They can’t shut it down and it overheats and the core explodes and goes into a nuclear meltdown and releases radiation into the atmosphere as the reactor did in Chernobyl in 1986 and turns into a scale 7 on the International Nuclear Events Scale.
Depending on wind direction, it could take the radiation cloud to anywhere in Iran, south across the Persian Gulf to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Yemen or westward to Kuwait , Iraq, Jordan, Syria or even to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkmenistan etc.
Israel does not want to get into this situation to where a country has to be evacuated because of nuclear fallout. This would really put Israel into a heap of trouble.
So if the reactor at Bushehr is on the attack list, the attack must happen soon before the reactor goes into operation. As we stated before, Russia says it will go online in August and Iran says it will go online in September.
Either way, time is running out for Israel.
So a surprise attack is really out of the question. How can it be a surprise when the talk of Israel attacking Iran is all over the internet?
When Israel attacks, they will have to do it at a time when it is safest for their pilots to do so. This means during the night and use the darkness as a cover.
Now the darkest nights of the month will occur during the new moon when there is no moonlight shining upon the earth, which occurs on July 11th. Of course, it doesn’t have to be at the darkest point for Israel to attack, but it might help when Iran starts to shoot back at them. Anything Israel can do to protect their pilots should be done.
So If Israel is going to use the darkness of the new moon for an attack, then we could give it anywhere from let’s say the 6th to the 16th with the 11th of July being the date of the new moon.
But there are several reasons why this date could be delayed.
1. The nuclear reactor at Bushehr is not on the target list.
2. Israel is not concerned about radioactive fallout.
3. The reactor could go online in September instead of August.
4. The date could be changed for the reactor to go online.
5. Iran stops their nuclear program. (Yeah, right.)
If September is the true date for the reactor to go into operation, rather than August, then this could give Israel another month before the attack.
If the reactor at Bushehr is not on the target list, then Israel could possibly have another six months before they need to attack.
Either way, we are going to see some serious fireworks within the next one to six months.
Get ready.
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