Author Topic: Israeli Establishment SCARED of War with Egypt if Mubarak's regime falls!  (Read 1215 times)

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Offline Maimonides

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http://www.nationalpost.com/news/Analysis+Israel+concerned+Mubarak+should+fall/4181268/story.html

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DUBAI — From Egypt to Jordan and Algeria to Yemen, Tunisia’s “Jasmine Revolution” has begun to undermine Arab regimes that have for decades maintained their control through fear, analysts say.

“The question is who remains,” not which country is next, said Amr Hamzawy, research director at the Carnegie Middle East Centre in Beirut, adding protests could affect most Arab states except for Gulf oil monarchies.

“There have been some protest activities in the past in a scattered manner, but now there is a regional trend where citizens are taking to the streets to protest for social, economic and political rights — it’s not a one-country issue and a one-day phenomenon.”

“What happened in Tunisia has broken the shackles of fear and showed that it was possible — with surprising speed — to topple a regime, and that it wasn’t as difficult as the people imagined,” said Burhan Ghalioun, director of the Centre d’études sur l’Orient Contemporain in Paris who in 1977 wrote a Manifesto for Democracy in the Arab world.

Egyptians have long shared the grievances that drove Tunisians to revolt. Unemployment, low wages and sky-rocketing food prices have all contributed to the rumbling wave of popular discontent.

But the fear of serious strife in Egypt has set alarm bells ringing in Israel.

“The Israeli strategic community is praying that this unrest in Egypt will fade away and not escalate into a prolonged period of instability,” said Gidi Grinstein, founder and president of the respected Reut Institute think tank.

Israel has long sought normal relations with its neighbours, but Egypt was its only Arab associate until the peace process launched by the 1993 Oslo interim accords led to a treaty with Jordan and a few other Arab countries.

However, Egypt remains by far its most important Middle East partner, a regular facilitator in interminable peace negotiations and until now a rock of stability in an otherwise turbulent area.

Israeli officials say in private they cannot believe President Hosni Mubarak will be overthrown by the demonstrations. But if he should fall, there is no guarantee whoever might follow him will continue to tend to Israel ties.

Ordinary Egyptians have never warmed to Israel, despite more than three decades of peace, and regularly blame it for their woes.

“If Mubarak is toppled then Israel will be totally isolated in the region,” said Alon Liel, a former director-general of the Israeli Foreign Ministry and a former ambassador to Turkey.
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The unrest in Egypt has also presented the Obama administration with a delicate balancing act, juggling its desire for a return to Middle Eastern stability, its support for democratic principles and its determination to avoid the rise of an anti-U.S. Islamist government in Cairo potentially allied with Iran.

Weighing in for the first time after three days of Egyptian unrest, U.S. President Barack Obama called on Mr. Mubarak to make “absolutely critical” political reforms.

The Arab protest movements have also highlighted weaknesses and the lack of popular legitimacy of some Arab regimes.

“You cannot run society without offering social justice, without distributing revenues in a just manner and without giving people their political freedom and rights. Nobody can accept that in the 21st century, and Arabs are showing they are no exception,” said Mr. Hamzawy.

Ghassan Sharbel, editor-in-chief of the pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat, said, “Either Arab regimes listen to popular demands and decide to start real reforms, or they continue to rely only on the security apparatus, and in that case these regimes could collapse” one after the other.

Agence France-Presse, with files from Reuters

Read more: http://www.nationalpost.com/news/Analysis+Israel+concerned+Mubarak+should+fall/4181268/story.html#ixzz1CIXWIi8G

Maybe this is Hashem's way of giving Israel another chance to regain the Sinai!
“You must accept the truth from whatever source it comes”- Maimonides

Offline Dr. Dan

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When opportunity knocks, it knocks.. Hopefully, Israel will defeat them and see the miracle and patience of Hashem.
If someone says something bad about you, say something nice about them. That way, both of you would be lying.

In your heart you know WE are right and in your guts you know THEY are nuts!

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Offline Lewinsky Stinks, Dr. Brennan Rocks

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Umm newsflash, Israel is "totally isolated" in the region now.

Offline Manch

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Umm newsflash, Israel is "totally isolated" in the region now.
My thought precisely!  :laugh:
Listening to Israeli officials is like listening to a pathological liar. It must be a prerequisite for the job. So now you "feel" "isolated" and without Sinai. Exactly what Ha Rav Kahane predicted.
Hayot Araviot Masrihot

Offline syyuge

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Banks of Nile are the limit.
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Offline Lewinsky Stinks, Dr. Brennan Rocks

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My thought precisely!  :laugh:
Listening to Israeli officials is like listening to a pathological liar. It must be a prerequisite for the job. So now you "feel" "isolated" and without Sinai. Exactly what Ha Rav Kahane predicted.
Tell this to the 90% of Israelis that still think the Sinai handover with Sadat was the "cornerstone" of modern Israeli politics.