Latest Gallup Polls: Newt 28% Mitt24% - Obama vs Newt: O+6, Obama vs Mitt:O+1

[briann]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

Newt 28%
Mitt 24%
Paul 10%
Bachmann 8%

Bachmann got a nice bounce from the recent debates.

But to me, the most important statistic hasnt changed :

Trial Heat: Obama vs. Gingrich
Obama50
Gingrich44

Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
Obama47
Romney46

Also, Newt and especially Mitt have edge on swing states

Update on Polls: http://www.gallup.com/poll/151508/Romney-Gingrich-Slight-Edge-Obama-Swing-States.aspx

[Rubystars]

I think Obama will probably win at this rate. One of the candidates, any of them, needs to do something to rise to the top to get more popular than Obama.

[briann]

I think Obama will probably win at this rate. One of the candidates, any of them, needs to do something to rise to the top to get more popular than Obama.

well, its gonna be a coin flip.  Really really close.  But the fact that the GOP may do better in the swing states may come into play as well.

[Rubystars]

well, its gonna be a coin flip.  Really really close.  But the fact that the GOP may do better in the swing states may come into play as well.

They need to focus really hard on Florida, that seems to have been really important for several elections as a swing state.

[cjd]

I think Obama will probably win at this rate. One of the candidates, any of them, needs to do something to rise to the top to get more popular than Obama.

I heard something this week to the tune that the GOP is not all that concerned over regaining the White House as long as they keep the house and retake the Senate... A large amount of Americans like the democrats and this presidents fleece the rich mentality... As long as there is money around to fund his programs they will vote for him... What most working class Americans don't seem to get is when he goes in this next time he will be free to do more or less whatever he can get away with and that includes taxing even them.

[Dr. Dan]

A lot of Americans are jobless and I think many of them know its Obama's fault. 

The problem will depend on the gulliblity of Americans when watching the news.  If after 9-11 they voted for Obama, they would vote for him again due to the same gulliblity

[mord]

On Rasmussen he beats Husseini obama by 1                           http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups   









2012 Presidential Matchups
Election 2012: Romney 43%, Obama 42%
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Friday, December 16, 2011

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney who now has edged to the front of the Republican pack in Iowa remains slightly ahead of President Obama for the second week in a row.  He remains the only GOP presidential hopeful to lead Obama in more than one survey to date.  The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters finds Romney earning 43% support to Obama’s 42%, meaning that the two men remain neck-and-neck as they have been in surveys for months.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on December 14-15, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodolog

[Rubystars]

Paul got dangerously close to being a mainstream candidate this time around! He says he won't run again, but his son Rand will have the opportunity to run many times in the future and I worry about him a lot now.

[briann]

Obama has gotten a BOUNCE from the Iraq war ending, maybe 3 points or so.  He is making the best of it now to pump his ratings.  However... that will fade to some degree...

At any rate... This is gonna be a SUPER close race.

If Paul ever becomes a serious contender (which he wont) all they have to do is show clips from the last debate.  His social and foreign policy is left of Michael Moore.  Iowa may be close, because he has put a HUGE amount of money into propaganda there... but after that... he will fade into obscurity until he ultimately burns in hell.

[Rubystars]

Obama has gotten a BOUNCE from the Iraq war ending, maybe 3 points or so.  He is making the best of it now to pump his ratings.  However... that will fade to some degree...

At any rate... This is gonna be a SUPER close race.

If Paul ever becomes a serious contender (which he wont) all they have to do is show clips from the last debate.  His social and foreign policy is left of Michael Moore.  Iowa may be close, because he has put a HUGE amount of money into propaganda there... but after that... he will fade into obscurity until he ultimately burns in hell.

I think there's a danger that Ron Paul could do well in both Iowa and New Hampshire. What would we do as a forum if Paul ends up being the nominee? We know Obama is evil and would do even more evil things since he doesn't have to worry about re-election anymore if he does win the 2012 election. We also know that Paul is an anti-Semite and that he has no qualms about Iran having nuclear weapons. The ultimate nightmare scenario...

[mord]

I think there's a danger that Ron Paul could do well in both Iowa and New Hampshire. What would we do as a forum if Paul ends up being the nominee? We know Obama is evil and would do even more evil things since he doesn't have to worry about re-election anymore if he does win the 2012 election. We also know that Paul is an anti-Semite and that he has no qualms about Iran having nuclear weapons. The ultimate nightmare scenario...

In the primaries Paul will do alright in Iowa he won't do well in N.H. ,Carolinas, N.Y. ,Calf,Fla ,new England and most Southern states