obama will not win. Besides the tons of negative stuff out on him, there are two books exposing him in the top 10 today, there were others and there will be more. Even his own books expose him for the garbage he is. Of course the media is doing all they can to whitewash everything negative but even they will cave when the weight becomes to much.
McCain going on the attack plays into that old crotchety right wing caricature the media and lefties(I know, same thing) always play up. Outside groups, such as this one , must keep the information flowing and public.
Now, simple numbers why he will not win.
Even he gets 100% of the black vote, which he will be close to, he needs to get over 50% of the white vote to win. I know it looks bad now but this will not happen. Kerry, Gore, McGovern could not do it, if they did they would have won. The media can do the political messiah crap all they want, he will not get over 50% of the white vote.
Liberals(Democrats) also always rely heavily on the Jewish vote. Does anyone think obama will get a majority of the Jewish vote? I would extremely doubt it.
The Hispanic vote. Again, obama will not do as good as everyone thinks here. Immigration as an issue has practically disappeared from the campaigns. As for McCain, his stance on immigration is his biggest weakness with Conservatives and most Hispanics understand McCain is more on thier side than just about any Republican, even more than some Democrats so his best strategy is to keep this out of the conversation.
Obama brings it up he reminds Hispanics that McCain leans more their way on immigration than they thought and Conservatives are already aware of this problem but nonetheless will not vote for obama. McCain is the pro life candidate while obama supports partial birth abortions and with the Hispanic vote with immigration taken out of the equation McCain wins.
As for the Asian vote, still to small to really make any difference but the majority will definetly go for McCain.
As for muslims, we know where they will go but there are not enough of them to make a difference.
For the last five elections, when a candidate announced his VP choice his poll numbers shot up anywhere from 1 to 5%. During their convention their poll numbers shot up anywhere from 4 to 17%, Dukakis, Kerry, had poll numbers close to this after thier conventions.
Yet, today, an average of a bunch of the top polls(Rasmussen, Gallup, etc.) has an average gain of 1.5 to 3%, for McCain!
Just stay vigilant and this dangerous entity called obama cannot win.