(Nov 3, 08) "Final Mason-Dixon battleground numbers: dead heat" (Hot

[briann]

Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 44, Undecided 4
Florida: Obama 47, McCain 45, Undecided 7
Nevada: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 8
Pennsylvania: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9
Virginia: Obama 47, McCain 44, Undecided 9
Ohio: McCain 47, Obama 45, Undecided 6
Missouri: McCain 47, Obama 46, Undecided 5
North Carolina: McCain 49, Obama 46, Undecided 5

As Brad Coker, who runs the Mason-Dixon poll, notes, the vast majority of the undecided voters in these states are WHITES.
http://hotair.com/archives/2008/11/0...ers-dead-heat/

[Kahane-Was-Right BT]

Do you believe these numbers, Brian?   Realclearpolitics tells a different story.  Hopefully Mccain's still in it, but most people are thinking it looks bleak.   I hope people get out and vote for him.

[דוד בן זאב אריה]

I think we are in for a big suprise tomarrow. The Bradley effect!! Why do you think early numbers look so good for McCain

[Roadwarrior]

I am skeptical of RealPolitics Average Poll or poll numbers
since they include a lot of highly skewed pro Obama polls.
Pew,  Quinnipiac,  CBS,  NY Times which makes the lead look bigger

many of the polls the msm puts up are designed to dampen
pro Mccain enthusiasm and cause people to give up....

things are in a state of flux and mccain is closing the gap ....
and the stock market has stabilized

Bradley effect and PUMA effect m which has been underestimated

[JewishAmericanPatriot]

May we all be able to say the Shehecheyanu tomorrow, please G-d!

[briann]

Do you believe these numbers, Brian?   Realclearpolitics tells a different story.  Hopefully Mccain's still in it, but most people are thinking it looks bleak.   I hope people get out and vote for him.

RealClearPolitics includes polls that are HUGELY oversampling democrats...They have a justification that many more younger voters and first-time voters will take part. 

Lets assume the numbers are somewhere in between.  THEN factor in the 'bradley effect' and you have a super tight race.

So I will guarantee!!! that this will be within a 2% race.   SO GO OUT AND VOTE!!!!!!!!

[eb22]

Brian,   thanks for the info.

I think there's a good chance that this election will come down to who wins Pennsylvania.      Realistically,   for the McCain/ Palin ticket to win this election,   they must win the Keystone State.        This would make up for losses in one, two,   or maybe even 3 smaller states that were " Red"  in 2004.      Assuming he wins Ohio and Florida.     
 

[Roadwarrior]

Brian,   thanks for the info.

I think there's a good chance that this election will come down to who wins Pennsylvania.      Realistically,   for the McCain/ Palin ticket to win this election,   they must win the Keystone State.        This would make up for losses in one, two,   or maybe even 3 smaller states that were " Red"  in 2004.      Assuming he wins Ohio and Florida.     
 

Yes .PA is a must win ....I think MN is doable since a SurveyUSA
poll said it was a dead heat.... MN could also provide a buffer

[JewishAmericanPatriot]

We're doing our best!! I spent all day yesterday and today handing out McCain literature in Philly!