I am convinced that Israel won the war of 2006.
The 2006 war was a failure for Israel because of a lack of vision, a lack of strategy and a lack of preparation by Smolmert and the leftist generals of the IDF. Many Israeli soldiers were ambushed and set up and ended up dead.
Hezbollah’s military capability was temporarily diminished but not destroyed and its political stock rose in the eyes of Lebanese, including in the eyes of Christians who had previously opposed Hezbollah. The political clout of Hezbollah and its ability to shape Lebanon's future are now stronger than they were before 2006. Syria and Iran have restocked Hezbollah’s arsenal of missiles.
It was a humiliation for an army as powerful as the IDF to be unable to defeat a terrorist group such as Hezbollah.
The 2006 war was also a PR disaster for Israel and gave new impetus to the demonization of Israel around the world.